China Choked by the Invisible Hand

Customize Your Profit from the Pros Delivery China Choked by the Invisible Hand Thursday in the Real Time Insight section of Zacks Ultimate we had an interactive poll and group discussion about the real state of growth in China. Here was my contribution: "I went for choice B (0 to 3% annual growth)...but who the heck really knows...and that's part of the problem. We pretend that China is some great growth miracle. As if their government did something special. If you flip it on its head their citizens are 1/5th as productive as those in the United States. They simply have 4X more people which is why they are the 2nd largest economy. So really this is a case of communism keeping them in the dark ages for many decades. And now for the last 10 years they have decided to pull their heads out of their rectums. So enough praise to the Chinese government. They spit in the face of free markets and the invisible hand ...and soon enough they will find that the invisible hand will be choking them for all their folly." Further proof of their folly was another injection of Chinese government cash into their stock market which turned the red arrows positive in the final hour. I truly cannot think of worse economic policy which stokes my greatest fear that their failings do end up hurting the rest of the world economy. Again, that is my worst fear...not necessarily the likely outcome. Which is why being 50% long still seems about the right mix in this uncertain environment. Once the direction of things becomes more clearly visible, then we can get more long or short the market as need be. Best, aka Steve Reitmeister Executive Vice President, Zacks Investment Research P.S. See below for my Featured Commentaries Follow Us:   Sponsor All Zacks' Private Buys & Sells for $1? Yes, it's true and no other investment research firm offers anything like it. See buys, sells, and market insights in real time from all 16 Zacks' portfolio services: One month. One dollar. Not one cent of further obligation. This includes stocks BEFORE they report positive earnings surprises, long-term stocks under $10 with explosive upsides, personal trades of Zacks' EVP Steve Reitmeister just before he puts his own money into them, and more. All backed by the boldest guarantees we ever made. See Trades Now >> Steve's Featured Commentaries on Zacks.com 4 Tech Stocks to Buy for Growth Right Now    ›› Profit from the Folly Rather than Participate in It    ›› 5 Beat and Raise Stocks to Buy Now    ›› Bull & Bear of the Day Zacks Rank #1 YRC Worldwide (YRCW) Management's strategy to enhance freight mix, and yield improvements is starting to pay off. Zacks Rank #5 Power Solutions Intl (PSIX) Management had to reduce revenue guidance for 2015 & 2016, due to several headwinds. Stock Picking Strategies Oil & Gas Stock Outlook - Aug. 2015    ›› 5 Stocks That Led Dow to 3rd Biggest Gain    ›› Crude Slips as Gasoline Build Outweighs Big Inventory Draw    ›› Funds Commentary 5 Top Zacks #1 Rank Non-US Mutual Funds to Consider    ›› 5 ETFs at the Heart of Wednesday Market Rally    ›› Should You Buy Housing ETFs Now?    ›› Options Strategies Making Money if You Have a Neutral to Bearish Outlook    ›› Video Reports Why United Parcel Service (UPS) is a Buy Growth & Income Stock Strategist, Todd Bunton, CFA, highlights United Parcel Service (UPS) on August 26, 2015. Correction Roadmap: 2011 Redux There are many similarities to the meltdown and recession fears of 2011 that can help us navigate profitably through this one. Where Do Earnings Estimates Come From? Discover the secret behind earnings estimates and earnings estimate revisions and how it can lead to dramatic stocks gains. Earnings HQ Get the First Calendar Made for Traders. Visit the Zacks Earnings Calendar See All » Sponsor Increase Investment Returns with Free Zacks' Portfolio Tracker Follow your investments easily in one place. Get free email updates that alert you to major events affecting your stocks and funds, including time recommendation changes, earnings announcements and, most importantly, earnings estimate revisions. Click to Learn More>> Manage Your Newsletter Subscriptions Update Preferences         Update Your Profile         Unsubscribe All         Feedback         Send to a Friend

 

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The best stocks for options plays in this market

Member ID: GGARCIANUNEZ1.SECRETWORLD@blogger.com Member Since: August 2015 Rewards Points: 10 View Your Benefits AUGUST 28, 2015 70% of Americans Are on a List to Receive a Free Gold-Coated Item (Did Your Name Make It?) Right now, America's largest banks, including Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Chase, and SunTrust, are shipping out a very unique gold-coated item to select customers. To find out if your name is on the recipient list, click here. Pro Trading The 10 Best Stocks for Options Plays in This Market By Tom Gentile, Options Specialist, Money Morning The biggest market drop in recorded history on Monday... a wild end-of-day plummet on Tuesday... a huge up day on Wednesday... and more bullish action today? Talk about opportunity! Right now, the only real barrier to trading profits is a stock that doesn't move. So in times like this, I like to use a really great tool that identifies what I call my "Top Movers" - the stocks and ETFs that have had the biggest percent moves and best correlation to the market. Then I can focus on finding the best stock with the best option trade and the best potential to double in value on the smallest move in the stock. That's a lot of "bests." This is a really simple tool, and I know you'll like it. Let me walk you through this quick... Members Only Use This 10-Year Pattern to Double Your Money The big blue chips are known measured, dependable, clockwork gains, not breakout, triple-digit profits. And yet, Tom's proprietary "Money Calendar" has revealed a pattern that leads to 100% profits on some of the most popular, liquid shares on Wall Street. He'll show you how to do it in this Power Profit Trades investor briefing. Just click here and you'll get the briefing and two trade updates each week. There's never a charge for Members, of course. The Long View Jim Rogers: "Don't Give Up on Commodities" This legendary investor has a broad contrarian streak, one that's helped him do nearly 1,000 times better than the S&P 500 over the decades. So when he says he's bullish on the long-term commodities picture, we'd be wise to listen... Cutting Edge The Anti-Aging Revolution Just Got Real A Nobel Prize-winning therapy just reversed the biological age of the cells of a 60-year old man by 25 years with zero side effects. The medical establishment is reeling. Click here to see the controversial therapy. Resource Investing China's Currency War Is Here - and You Can Profit The real story isn't China's crashing markets. It's the global currency war the Asian powerhouse just started, and how the conflict opens up some big opportunities for us right now... Members-Only Video Shah: "Let's Enjoy This While It Lasts" Make no mistake - Monday's plunge was not the capitulation the market needs to "clear the air," and the government is not playing it straight with the most recent economic data that's sent stocks soaring. But that doesn't mean we should sit out this brief rally, so here's what Shah is looking at now... Private Briefing (Premium) When the Going Gets Tough, Boeing Gets Going The American aviation giant stunned stock watchers when it boosted its 20-year forecast for aircraft demand from China - a country that conventional wisdom holds is slowing down. Those extra 6,330 airplane orders have already done wonders for Boeing shares... Log in or Learn more Member Services 888.384.8339 Write to Us Profit on Tom's "Top Movers" With markets as volatile as this, options traders are spoiled for choice when picking the stocks to write options on. If a stock is moving, in either direction, there's money to be made. Here are some of Tom's juiciest targets... Today in... The Real Crash Is Already "Tee'd Up" The correction and rally are grabbing lots of attention, so plenty of investors don't hear the soft "tick-ticking" sound of the European bond market preparing to blow up. When (not if) it does, it will take down European markets and spread like wildfire. That's why you need the recommendations in Shah's latest report, "The Bond Market's Ground Zero." Click here to get it, along with Shah's Insights & Indictments. Your Membership Questions Have a question for our editorial team? E-mail us. Interested in our team covering a topic in Money Morning? Send us an e-mail. Republish Money Morning on your Web site, blog, or e-mail w/o charge. Learn how. Money Map Press Home Money Map Report Energy Advantage Nova-X Report Private Briefing Energy Inner Circle High Velocity Profits Biotech Insider Alert Capital Wave Forecast Radical Technology Profits Stealth Profits Trader Short-Side Fortunes Small-Cap Rocket Alert Money Calendar Alert Share This Article:

ZeroHedge Frontrunning: August 28

August 28, 2015

Frontrunning: August 28 Stock Halts Added to Monday's Market Chaos (Read More) Fed Up Investors Yank Cash From Almost Everything Just Like 2008 (Read More) Drop in Stock Futures Signal Halt to S&P 500's Relief Rally (Read More) - at least until the BOJ ramps USDJPY up again Hacker Killed by Drone Was Islamic State's 'Secret Weapon' (Read More) Greece's Syriza to win election but face setback, poll shows (Read More) Puerto Rico Spends More Than $60 Million on Debt Restructuring (Read More) China's Moves Won't Help U.S. Tech Firms (Read More) How to (Safely) Invest Like a Wall Street Pro - It doesn't matter if you invest a thousand dollars? or a million dollars. If you have access to the right strategies and tactics ? and exclusive information from top investing experts ? you can enjoy great wealth and freedom. Learn how here. (Click Here to Automatically Subscribe) How the IMF's misadventure in Greece is changing the fund (Read More) Japan inflation stalls and spending slides, keeps BOJ under pressure (Read More) Hundreds die as desperate migrants head for Europe (Read More) Best president ever! How Trump's love of hyperbole could backfire (Read More) Greece's Economy Surged as Tsipras Fought With EU Over Aid Deal (Read More) Can Netflix Become Must-See TV in Japan? (Read More) The Fed's Goldilocks Problem (Read More) Our Sponsors » Connect with Us: Facebook Twitter Google+

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PERU:LA TORMENTA PERFECTA por carlos parodi,

Economía para todos

CARLOS PARODI

Economía Peruana: ¿La Tormenta Perfecta?

• 28/08/2015
• 07:33
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La economía peruana podría estar ad portas de una “tormenta perfecta”, es decir, una confluencia de un conjunto de eventos (externos e internos) que impedirían una recuperación en los siguientes meses. Veamos qué eventos se están juntando para configurar la “tormenta perfecta”: 

1. La economía china presenta altos niveles incertidumbre al punto que se ha llegado a cuestionar sus cifras de crecimiento para este año;  algunos señalan que este año crecería solo 3.5% a pesar que la cifra oficial apunta a 6.8%. La explosión de la burbuja de las acciones en esta semana, así como su contagio global, es una prueba más de los desequilibrios de la economía china. Como resultado no solo cayeron las bolsas, sino también los precios de las materias primas en general. Lo que cuesta entender es que las autoridades chinas no solo otorgaron créditos fáciles a personas naturales para que inviertan en bolsa sin saber nada sobre el tema, sino que también pensaron que si la bolsa caía podían solucionar el problema comprando acciones desde el gobierno. Un desconocimiento total del funcionamiento de los mercados. Impacto sobre el Perú: caída de precios de metales, menor cantidad de dólares y aumento en el tipo de cambio. Resultado: inflación. 
2. El aumento en la tasa de interés de los Estados Unidos en la reunión del 14 de setiembre y un posterior aumento en noviembre. Ambos están casi confirmados, a pesar que los resultados preliminares no muestran mejorías sustanciales en la economía estadounidense.  Impacto en el Perú: salida de capitales, menor oferta de dólares y elevación del tipo de cambio. Resultado: inflación. 
3. El fenómeno del niño, que ha sido anunciado como “muy fuerte”, lo que significa problemas en la producción de alimentos, daños a la infraestructura, etc. Recuerde, estimado lector, que el último considerado en la misma categoría ocurrió en 1998 y el anterior en 1983. Resultado: caída de la producción agrícola, inflación y necesidad de mayor gasto público para enfrentar al desastre natural. 
4. La eventual degradación de la clasificación de nuestra bolsa de valores de “emergente” a “fronteriza”, lo que significa que debido al escaso movimiento de liquidez que tiene, entre otros factores, no es recomendable para los inversionistas; los expertos en bolsa aluden a una fuerte salida de capitales. Impacto sobre el Perú: aumento en el tipo de cambio y traslado a la inflación. La decisión final se conocerá el 30 de setiembre por lo que a pesar de los anuncios aun es reversible, pero ya es una mala señal la probabilidad de la degradación.   
5.  Turbulencia política interna, acentuada en los últimos meses. Impacto: expectativas negativas que profundizan la contracción de la inversión.

Si juntamos los elementos anteriores, el panorama se presenta preocupante. Ciertamente se podrá decir, que a lo mejor algunos de los factores descritos no se cumplirán; es verdad, pero lo que no se puede negar es que cada día que pasa se vuelven más probables.  ¿Estamos preparados?

ZeroHedge Frontrunning: August 24

August 24, 2015

Frontrunning: August 24 Deutsche Bank Says Rout 'Very Serious' as Growth Outlook Dims (Read More) Great fall of China sinks world stocks, dollar tumbles (Read More) Global Stocks Fall Sharply Amid Concerns About the Chinese Economy (Read More) Stock Rout Spreads Through Europe After China Plunge (Read More) China stocks give up year's gains as 'national team' stays on bench (Read More) The Fed Is Looking at a Very Different Dollar Than Wall Street (Read More) French train gunman 'dumbfounded' by terrorist tag (Read More) Free: Zacks Rank #1 Bull Stock of the Day - Since 1988, Zacks Strong Buys have nearly tripled the market with an independently verified average gain of +26% per year. (Click Here to Automatically Subscribe) How the Market Rout Is Turning Wall Street Upside Down (Read More) Joe Biden Is Leaning Toward a 2016 Run (Read More) Uber Unleashes Lobbyists in California to Reshape Driver Rules (Read More) Greek Election: Syriza 2.0 vs. What's Left (Read More) Brent Oil Drops Below $45 First Time Since 2009 as Glut Persists (Read More) Ashley Madison hack sends shivers through hook-up, porn sites (Read More) Brad Katsuyama's Next Chapter (Read More) Truffles on Billionaire's Farm Fuel South African Industry (Read More) Our Sponsors » Connect with Us: Facebook Twitter Google+

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ZeroHedge Frontrunning: August 25

August 25, 2015

Frontrunning: August 25 China's Central Bank Cuts Interest Rates (Read More) Chinese Stocks Crash Again to Extend Biggest Plunge Since 1996 (Read More) China cuts rates, reserve ratio to aid economy as stocks sink (Read More) Wall St. suffers worst day in four years, S&P confirms correction (Read More) Europe's Stocks Head for Best Day Since 2011 (Read More) Market turmoil clouds Fed rate outlook (Read More) For All Its Heft, China's Economy Is a Black Box (Read More) Free: Zacks Rank #1 Bull Stock of the Day - Since 1988, Zacks Strong Buys have nearly tripled the market with an independently verified average gain of +26% per year. (Click Here to Automatically Subscribe) Apple leads technology stock recovery amid China fallout (Read More) How Trump plans to turn gawkers into hardcore supporters (Read More) FCC Crushes Dish's Dreams of Becoming a Wireless Carrier, For Now (Read More) Investors Grasp for Answers Amid Wild Stock Rout (Read More) As migrants head north, Hungary decries 'humiliating' EU policy (Read More) How to Build Industrial Robots That Don't Kill Humans (Read More) Trump quotes Bush's mother in attack ad (Read More) Here's How Australian Billionaires Party for a Week on a Private Island (Read More) Our Sponsors » Connect with Us: Facebook Twitter Google+

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PERU_EMISION 1200 M US EN MERCADO BONOS 2027

http://peru21.pe/economia/peru-logro-colocar-bonos-demanda-que-supero-mas-cuatro-veces-oferta-2225581

Fw: Coeficiente de dolarización del crédito en junio fue 34,0 por ciento

 

 

Sent: Saturday, July 25, 2015 at 12:59 AM
From: BCRP <informativo@bcrp.gob.pe>
To: ggarcianunez@mail.com
Subject: Coeficiente de dolarización del crédito en junio fue 34,0 por ciento

<http://www.facebook.com/bcrp.gob.pe>
<http://www.twitter.com/bcrpoficial>
<http://www.youtube.com/user/bcrpoficial>
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/rss/novedades.xml>

<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/publicaciones/nota-semanal.html>

** Nota Semanal N° 28-2015 (descargar documento)
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Nota-Semanal/2015/ns-28-2015.pdf>
**

Coeficiente de dolarización del crédito en junio fue 34,0 por
ciento

Crédito en soles creció 24,5 por ciento anual en junio

Tasa de interés preferencial corporativa en soles en 4,2 por ciento
Tipo de cambio interbancario promedio venta cerró en S/. 3,18 por
dólar
Reservas internacionales en US$ 59 516 millones al 22 de julio

**Nota Semanal: N° 28-2015 (descargar documento)
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Nota-Semanal/2015/ns-28-2015.pdf>
**

Resumen informativo N° 28-2015
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Nota-Semanal/2015/resumen-informativo-28-2015.pdf>
(formato PDF)
Cuadros estadísticos
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/estadisticas/cuadros-de-la-nota-semanal.html>
(formato XLS)
Cuadros estadísticos
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Estadisticas/Cuadros-Estadisticos/2015/cuadros-estadisticos-28-2015.pdf>
(formato PDF)

**Novedades en la página web <http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/>
**

Reporte de Estabilidad Financiera - Mayo 2015
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Reporte-Estabilidad-Financiera/ref-mayo-2015.pdf>

BCRP obtuvo certificación en Seguridad de la Información en el
Sistema LBTR (ISO/IEC 27001)
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Sistema-Pagos/certificacion-ISO-27001.pdf>

Curso de Actualización en Economía 2015 - Lista de seleccionados
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Proyeccion-Institucional/curso-actualizacion/actualizacion-2015-seleccionados.pdf>

Curso de Actualización para Profesores de Economía 2015 - Lista de
seleccionados
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Proyeccion-Institucional/curso-profesores/profesores-2015-seleccionados.pdf>

Venta de medallas y monedas conmemorativas
<https://tiendavirtual.bcrp.gob.pe/tiendabcrp/>

<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/billetes-y-monedas/canje-de-billetes.html>

Atte,

Departamento de Publicaciones Económicas.

Envíe sus comentarios mediante el formulario de consultas
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CHINA: DEVALUACION DEL YUAN, CAIDA BOLSA SHANGAI

http://peru21.pe/economia/china-devaluo-yuan-2-impulsar-su-economia-video-2225053

Fw: BCRP mantuvo la tasa de interés de referencia en 3,25 por ciento

 

 

Sent: Friday, August 14, 2015 at 8:58 PM
From: BCRP <informativo@bcrp.gob.pe>
To: ggarcianunez@mail.com
Subject: BCRP mantuvo la tasa de interés de referencia en 3,25 por ciento

<http://www.facebook.com/bcrp.gob.pe>
<http://www.twitter.com/bcrpoficial>
<http://www.youtube.com/user/bcrpoficial>
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/rss/novedades.xml>

<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/publicaciones/nota-semanal.html>

**Resumen Informativo (descargar documento)
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Nota-Semanal/2015/resumen-informativo-30-2015.pdf#view=Fit>
**

BCRP mantuvo la tasa de interés de referencia en 3,25 por ciento
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Transparencia/Notas-Informativas/2015/nota-informativa-2015-08-13.pdf>


<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Transparencia/Notas-Informativas/2015/nota-informativa-2015-08-13.pdf>

El sector público no financiero registró un déficit de S/. 2 353
millones en julio
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Nota-Semanal/2015/resumen-informativo-30-2015-1.pdf>


<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Nota-Semanal/2015/resumen-informativo-30-2015-1.pdf>

Tasa de interés preferencial corporativa en soles en 4,5 por ciento
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Nota-Semanal/2015/resumen-informativo-30-2015-2.pdf>

Tipo de cambio interbancario promedio venta cerró en S/. 3,22 por
dólar el 11 de agosto
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Nota-Semanal/2015/resumen-informativo-30-2015-3.pdf>

Reservas Internacionales Netas en US$ 59 865 millones al 7 de agosto
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Nota-Semanal/2015/resumen-informativo-30-2015-4.pdf>

**Nota Semanal del BCRP (descargar documento completo)
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Nota-Semanal/2015/ns-30-2015.pdf>

**

**Novedades en la página web <http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/>
**

Programa Monetario de Agosto 2015: BCRP mantuvo la tasa de interés
de referencia en 3,25%
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Transparencia/Notas-Informativas/2015/nota-informativa-2015-08-13.pdf>

Nota de Estudios N° 49: Encuesta Mensual de Expectativas
Macroeconómicas - Julio 2015
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Notas-Estudios/2015/nota-de-estudios-49-2015.pdf>

<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/billetes-y-monedas/canje-de-billetes.html>

Atte,

Departamento de Publicaciones Económicas.

Envíe sus comentarios mediante el formulario de consultas
<http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/contactenos.html>



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GRECIA_ALEMANIA, AGOSTO 2015

Grecia y plan de rescate aleman

http://elcomercio.pe/mundo/europa/alemania-aprueba-plan-rescate-grecia-video-noticia-1834144